Saturday, January 04, 2014

Our first movie of 2014 will be

Philomena.  A woman looking for her child; a man looking for his career. 

The weather is supposed to be bitter tomorrow—a good day to go to a movie theater.

PLEASE SHARE--- A major Winter Storm will hit Ohio Sunday followed by the coldest temperatures in 20 years. The combination of these severe weather events will impact all of us for the next several days! Here's the quick summary (weather geeks will want to keep reading for more details) WHEN DOES THE SNOW BEGIN: 7-9AM Sunday PRECIPITATION TYPE: All snow north and west of a line from Dayton to Marion. Snow mixing with sleet and freezing rain 20 miles either side of I-71. Rain changing to snow south and east of a line from Hillsboro to New Lexington. HOW MUCH SNOW: Columbus Metro 4-6" ... Greene, Clark, Champaign, Union Delaware, Marion and Morrow 6-8" while areas north and west of a line from Richmond to Findlay could see 8-12" (Note the graphic from NWS Wilmington.. snowfall amounts here are listed only for their warning area and you should take the lines north to estimate snowfall amounts in your hometown) IMPACT: Major impact expected due to heavy snow and blowing & drifting. DANGEROUS COLD: The Arctic Front will move across the area Sunday evening sending temperatures plunging below zero. Temperatures may drop as low as 15-20 below zero Monday night. Wind chill readings of 30-40 below will be possible. Ok... Now the weather geek stuff. I've been showing you the ECMWF (EURO) model for days now and it has been showing a big storm all along. Remember when I told you the model suggested a foot of snow in a week?? Man.. did I hear from folks on that one. Turns out the ECMWF will be correct by the time you add up whats on the ground and what is coming! The models have been all over the place which is pretty typical. But now the GFS and the ECMWF have come to a similar conclusion bringing heavy snow all the way east to I-71. The NAM appears to be out to lunch with its prediction of an inch in Columbus. I think we need to rule that one out. I hope you like looking at the computer models as much as me. I have gotten my share of nasty comments about them always changing and why I can't make up my mind. They fail to recognize the fact that I don't make the computer models... I only use them as guidance when making a forecast. My hope is you can use my Facebook page to see what goes into the forecast process. Don't let it give you anxiety as one reader wrote.... that is not the point. Finally... I want you to know that I am being conservative here. I started with 3-4 inches for Columbus and now have taken most of the Metro Area to 4-6 inches with the mention that any shift in the storm track will mean more or less accumulation amounts. I've always been one to prefer adding to the forecast as information seems more reliable than taking away and getting blamed for overhyping. There you have it. I'll keep you updated all along and I really appreciate your interest in weather and my page! Have a good day and be safe my friend!

Posted by Norma at 1/04/2014 04:38:00 PM
Labels: ,

No comments:

Post a Comment

Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)