Monday, August 16, 2004

422 The Blackout of August 14, 2003 study

Here's what I wrote last year about the enormous blackout we experienced:

"The Blackout of August 14 only affected Lakeside for about 4 hours. I had popped a beef stroganoff into the oven at 3:45 and headed for music class. At 4:10 the AC and lights went out and the class coordinator stuck her head in and said, "We're working on it." Dr. Taylor had distributed most of the music, so we really didn't need the overheads. It's not that unusual to have short power outages. But when I left at 5:15 I overhead some people saying, "It's on the whole peninsula."

When I got back to the cottage, Bob told me it was the whole northeast and southern Canada. So we called Phoebe, and she said it hadn't affected Columbus, but the outage went as far south as Delaware, OH. Our radio needed 4 C batteries, so I sat in the car to listen to the news, finally remembering my walkman was in the car, and it was working.

We didn't want to open the frig to put away the half cooked dinner, which would only have heated up the cold food, so we headed to Abigail's, which fortunately has gas and was serving dinner--everything except coffee which used electric percolators. Dinner was by candlelight and no one seemed too concerned. We knew the auditorium had a generator because years ago we were watching a Shirley Jones show and the power went out. When we got there, there was one lonely light bulb in the ceiling, and the stage lights. The performance hadn't started by 8:15, but then all the lights came on and they waited a bit so people who hadn't wanted to walk home in the dark could get there. The program was a young woman from Ireland and a 3 piece band.

Toledo and Detroit were still struggling on Friday, and on Saturday I heard on WJR that Detroit would still have its "DreamCruise" with 30,000 extra cars and about 1,000,000 additional people, plus the start of the state fair. They were still without traffic lights! But people are conserving water, and told not to use the AC. This is some of the hottest weather we've had all summer--haven't really had any 90 degree weather until now.

The political parties will of course be blaming each other, but there is enough blame to go around, with reports going back many years that the system was overloaded and antiquated. I heard some of these grids are 40 years old. With all the computer and tech stuff we have now, with almost everyone having air conditioning, it is hard to imagine that no one's been able to correct it. I guess de-regulation has something to do with it. Monopolies are always more efficient to regulate and all these smaller companies need to cooperate on a plan to upgrade. It certainly is a wake up call, and outlined for terrorists exactly what to do--just bring down a Canadian power plant, and you can shut down the U.S. most important cities!"

Last Thursday I read a summary in the Wall Street Journal of the year long blackout study and was surprised, or maybe not, to read that none of the theories that were being thrown around last August and September turned out to name the culprits. The Final report of the U.S.-Canada Power System Outage Task Force is ". . .a prosaic tale about dozens of small things that went wrong with a few obvious policy lessons." 1)sagging transmission lines came into contact with trees, and 2) inoperative computer software.

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